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After a more subdued start to the year, Warsaw’s office market gained significant momentum in Q2 2026. Tenant activity in the first half of the year reached 420,000 sq m, representing a 38% year-on-year increase. At the same time, limited new supply, declining vacancy levels and rising rents in prime locations confirm that the Polish capital remains one of the most competitive office markets in Central and Eastern Europe. According to AXI IMMO’s latest report, “Office Market in Warsaw H1 2026”, modern office space continues to play a key role in corporate real estate strategies despite the sustained popularity of hybrid working models.

Strong Leasing Momentum Returns

In the first half of 2026, total office take-up in Warsaw reached 420,000 sq m, while net take-up amounted to 220,000 sq m. The second quarter proved particularly strong, with a number of large transactions completed, nearly doubling the leasing volume recorded in the same period a year earlier.

Expert’s comment – Tomasz Michalczyk, Head of Office Agency, AXI IMMO

Major Transactions Signal Occupier Confidence

Among the largest transactions completed during the first half of the year were Frontex’s lease renewal for 21,500 sq m at Warsaw Spire B, Visa Europe’s new lease for 17,300 sq m at The Bridge, and Poczta Polska’s renewal of 17,000 sq m at Domaniewska Office Hub. The most active occupiers represented the business services, financial services and IT sectors.

New Supply Remains Constrained

On the supply side, the shortage of new office space remains pronounced. Since the beginning of the year, developers have delivered only 50,000 sq m of new office space to the Warsaw market, representing a 47% decline compared with the corresponding period of last year. Approximately 130,000 sq m is currently under construction, down 7% year-on-year. Notably, more than 90% of ongoing developments are being delivered in central locations across the capital.

Flight to Quality Continues

The quality of office space is becoming increasingly important. Occupiers are focusing on modern buildings that offer high technical standards, excellent connectivity and solutions supporting sustainability goals. At the same time, older properties that have not undergone refurbishment are losing competitiveness, with some being repurposed, most commonly for residential or hotel use.

Vacancy Rates Reach New Lows in Central Locations

The combination of constrained supply and strong take-up is further reducing the availability of office space. At the end of June 2026, Warsaw’s average vacancy rate stood at 8.5%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year. In central locations, only 4.8% of office stock remained available, while in the area around Rondo Daszyńskiego, currently the capital’s most active business hub, availability fell to just 3.6%.

Expert’s comment – Emilia Trofimiuk, Research Manager, Research Department, AXI IMMO

Prime Rents Continue Their Upward Trend

The declining availability of office space is also having an impact on rental levels. In most buildings in central Warsaw, asking rents currently range from EUR 15 to EUR 28 per sq m/month, while in the premium segment they stand at between EUR 25 and as much as EUR 32 per sq m/month.

Expert’s comment – Michał Baranowski, Associate Director, Business Development, Office Agency, AXI IMMO

Limited Pipeline to Support Further Rental Growth

According to AXI IMMO experts, the market is expected to continue operating under conditions of constrained supply in the coming years, particularly with regard to office space meeting the highest technical and environmental standards. In addition, the ongoing withdrawal of older buildings from the market is likely to further tighten availability.

Detailed data on leasing activity, new supply, vacancy rates, rental levels, major office transactions and forecasts for the Warsaw office market are available in AXI IMMO’s latest report, “Office Market in Warsaw H1 2026”.

About AXI IMMO

AXI IMMO offers comprehensive advisory services related to commercial real estate, including warehouse and office leasing and property management, real estate valuation, land acquisition, and sales. The firm also offers B2B and B2C supply chain management services. AXI IMMO’s greatest advantage is combining international business standards with deep local market knowledge.

AXI IMMO has received numerous awards, including Best Local Agency of the Year from 2012 to 2019 and 2021 in the CiJ Awards and Best Team in the Warehouse Sector in 2016–2017. In 2019 and 2023, the firm was the winner in the Local Agency category, and in 2024, it was named Advisor of the Year at the CEE Investment Awards. AXI IMMO was named Local Agent of the Year in 2023 and 2024 in the CEE region at the CEEQA awards. The firm’s most recent achievement is being named Advisor of the Year at the Prime Property Prize 2024.

The AXI IMMO’s Research Department team at AXI IMMO conducts regular market analyses and provides reports and publications on the commercial real estate market.

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